The economy is still weak
United Nations (UN) report "World Economic Situation and Prospects 2010" predicts that in 2010, subject to continuation of the leading states" policies to stimulate the economy will be marked by moderate growth (GDP) in the world at the level of 2,4%. According to UN experts, world GDP would fall by up to 2009 by 2,2%, but the second half of last year have improved the economic situation, a significant recovery in world trade and industrial production.
After the collapse of the world economy in late 2008 - early 2009 the economy growing number of stops falling and showing growth. Indicators of international trade and the global industrial production is becoming more favorable situation on world stock exchanges continuously improving. At the same time, the revival and restoration of the global economy is unbalanced, and the conditions for sustained development remain weak.
In most developed economies of the world situation with loans is still intense. Recovery in domestic demand in many countries is only at the initial stage. Economic recovery is mainly due to fiscal stimulus measures taken by developed and developing countries, as well as through periodic adjustment of global reserves. In a large number of countries, consumption and investment demand remained weak, the unemployment rate continues to rise, but productivity is redundant. This UN report emphasized that in 2010 the restoration of world economic growth will "slow, unemployment will remain high, and inflation - low.
According to UN projections in 2010, the U.S. economy may grow by 2,5%. Restoring economic growth in the European Union an average of only 0.6%, while in Japan - 0,9%. Will grow significantly faster than the GDP of developing countries in Asia, which up to 2010 could reach an average of 5,3%, while the crisis in 2009 it grew by only 1.9%. UN experts predict that up to 2010 China"s growth will amount to 8,8%, India - 6.5%, Brazil - 4.5%. But even these high rates of major developing countries below their economic potential.
CIS states during the crisis demonstrated the different dynamics of economic recession and recovery. The most successful economies in the CIS were Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan. Whereas in 2009 most of the CIS countries and the world experienced a decline of economies, its GDP has grown. At the same time the UN predicts that in 2010 the rate of growth of these economies will continue to exceed growth in GDP of India and will be second only to China. Small economy of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan in 2009, also managed to avoid recession.
much worse state of the economy of other CIS countries. Russia, which is increasingly difficult to attribute to the BRIC group in 2009 expec6brienced a decline of the economy by 7%, and in 2010 growth will be weak. The economy of Kazakhstan, which in 2009 fell slightly, to return to its volume to decline. At the same time, Belarus, Georgia and Moldova will not be able to restore its economy to pre-crisis level. Phenomenal economic decline in 2009 was observed in Ukraine and Armenia, it was 15%. In these same countries, the UN predicts the weakest pace of economic recovery in 2010
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