Market Analysis

late last week for the first time this year, consumer prices began to decline gradually. According to experts, in the next seven days, price tags at gas stations can lose up to 50 kopecks. /L.

Quotes nefterynka again rocked the world down. Futures on the "black gold" back to the $ 72/barrel mark. Less readily reached for her prices on gasoline and diesel fuel in European trading floors. For example, gasoline-95 lost after the peak ($ 730 /t) during the first two weeks of the new year on average about $ 50 /t. More rapidly became cheaper diesel fuel - respectively $ 90-100 /t (up to $ 570 /t). Given that the reduction in the global market began three weeks ago, in the coming 7-10 days, this must be reflected on stelae Ukrainian ingredients.

"After January"s record $ 83/barrel crude oil managed to fall in price by $ 10. In other words, retail prices of petroleum products would have to return to their values in December - that is cheaper by 70-80 kopecks. /l. But it"s - only on the basis of objective economic factors. prevailing market chaos precludes adherence to a mathematical calculation ", - said director of Consulting Group" A-95 Sergei Kuiun. Therefore, experts predict, cheaper gasoline and diesel fuel at gas stations during the next week will not exceed 50 kopecks. /liter.

Among the subjective factors that led to the overstatement, observers and market participants are referred to as the reduction in sales volume: "Every year, and this year even more than others during the low season, falling flow. This naturally leads to an increase in margins," - explains the commercial director of one of Kiev"s gas station chains. "Sales are falling, and operating costs tankers are maintained. In connection with the storm even more - are increasing. Thereby leading to further growth of the operational components in the price of fuel," - commented CEO SOEs Ukrneftekhimpererabotka (engaged price analysis for profiling expert-analytical group at the Ministry of Fuel and Energy) Vladimir Yemelin.

According to him, the national average price for gas stations do not get out of the forward-looking corridor economically reasonable prices in this period - 7,70-7,82 grn. /l for gasoline A-95. However, most traders in the branded gasoline network stations on a stele cost of the popular 95-second very close to 8 grn. /L (7,93-7,98 grn. /L), which obviously can not be attributed only to the foregoing factors.

note that unnoticed until cheaper petroleum products in the wholesale segment of the domestic market. The downward trend in wholesale prices has not yet emerged among Ukrainian producers: "The processors are in no hurry to cut prices because of processing they are still expensive oil. Last week, fell in price but petrol A-92 and gasoline A-95, in contrast, grew "- states Mr. Kuiun. Recall that it is the share of Ukrainian oil now accounts for almost 80% of the market.

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